Typhoon 26W (Francisco), # 13: Guam back to TCCOR 4

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Typhoon 26W (Francisco), # 13: Guam back to TCCOR 4

by: Dave Ornauer | .
Stars and Stripes | .
published: October 20, 2013

5 p.m. Friday, Oct. 18, Guam time: Joint Region Marianas announced at 3 p.m. that Guam has been placed back in Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 4, which it remains in year-round. Francisco is moving out of the area and is tracking toward Japan.

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Typhoon 26W (Francisco), # 12: Tropical storm warning canceled

Damaging winds no longer expected on Guam, but TCCOR 1 remains in effect.

1:30 p.m. Friday, Oct. 18, Guam time: The ropical storm warning for Guam has been canceled, according to the National Weather Service's web page. Damaging winds are no longer expected on Guam, but Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 1 does remain in effect.

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4 a.m. Friday, Oct. 18, Guam time: Guam has entered Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 1, according to the Joint Information Center on Guam; that associated with the proximity of Typhoon Francisco. Destructive winds of 58 mph or greater are anticipated within 12 hours. Get your safe on, Guam!

Francisco curves slightly back toward Guam; tropical storm warning issued for the island for Friday.

Midnight Thursday, Oct. 17, Guam time: A tropical storm warning has been issued for Guam related to Typhoon Francisco, forecast to track north-northwest but which has hooked slightly back toward the island over the last six hours. Sustained 35-mph winds and 45-mph gusts are projected, along with heavy showers associated with Francisco’s outer bands. Francisco is forecast to track 86 miles west of Naval Base and 106 miles west of Andersen Air Force Base around 7 a.m. Friday, packing 104-mph sustained winds and 127-mph gusts at its center.

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1 p.m. Thursday, Oct. 17, Guam time: In very short order, Francisco has strengthened into a Category 1-equivalent typhoon, according to the latest warning posted by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. It’s forecast to crawl slowly north over the next day or so, passing about 168 miles west of Andersen Air Force Base about 8 a.m. Friday, packing sustained 104-mph winds and 127-mph gusts at its center.

Marine weather and high-surf warnings have been posted for Guam by the island’s National Weather Service page. Department of Education announced that all after-school activities including interscholastic sports practices have been canceled for the second straight day.

Authorities continue to advise caution while driving on Guam road, to watch for flooding and drive more slowly than usual.

National Weather Service Forecast Office

Joint Typhoon Warning Center radar for 26W

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12:30 a.m. Thursday, Oct. 17, Guam time: 26W has morphed rapidly into Tropical Storm Francisco, and will hang around Guam long enough to cause some heavy rain and wind, but far enough away that it doesn’t become a major concern. Still, Guam has had enough rain in the last few weeks than it’s had in a similar period in a very long time.
 
Once Francisco picks up forward speed, it’s forecast to travel northwest and split the difference between Okinawa and Iwo Jima, likely following the same track as Wipha did earlier this week. Too early to say definitively, but PST will surely keep a sharp eyeball on things.
 
Meantime, Guam remains in a tropical storm watch and in Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 3, at least through the next day or so. Expect heavy rain squalls and wind gusts from the eastern quadrants of the still-developing storm. Get supplied up and get your safe on, Guam!

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Pregnant mothers asked to go to Guam Memorial Hospital

8 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 16, Guam time: Pacific Daily News' Facebook page has posted a message for expectant mothers in their 38th week of pregnancy and those with high-risk pregnancies six months and over to head to Guam Memorial Hospital, where they may stay until Tropical Depression 26W has passed and it's safe for them to return to their homes.

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Guam enters TCCOR 3

2:30 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 16, Guam time: The governor of Guam has directed Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 3 for the island. Damaging winds of 58 mph or greater are possible within 48 hours.

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Tropical Depression 26W

2 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 16, Guam time: A new tropical depression has formed just southeast of Guam and is forecast to strengthen into a tropical storm sometime Thursday or Friday, hanging around Guam long enough to bring yet more heavy rain and high wind, as if it hasn't had enough of it in the last month. Several advisories and warnings are posted on Guam's National Weather Service Web page.

26W would be called Francisco if it becomes a named storm, which it likely will as it heads northwest toward Japan, as forecast by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Too early to tell yet exactly where it will head, but long-range models are projecting it may follow the same path as Wipha did, just off Japan's east coast. PST as always will keep a sharp eyeball on it.

National Weather Service Forecast Office

Joint Typhoon Warning Center radar for 26W

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Special statement from the governor's office on Guam

11:30 a.m. Wednesday, Oct. 16, Guam time: Here's a special statement from the governor's office on Guam regarding the tropical disturbance headed toward the island, which could strengthen into a significant tropical storm by this evening:

Dust off your storm-preparedness plan. The tropical disturbance moving closer to Guam is intensifying. Weather officials are predicting this disturbance will be upgraded to a tropical storm possibly by later today. Whether a storm watch or warning is declared all depends on how certain weather officials are about the potential storm getting closer to the island. The Governor may make a declaration following a heavy weather briefing later today. He is asking Guamanians to make preparations and to stay tuned for more information.

The Governor has stood up the Joint Information Center to coordinate all public information. The JIC is coordinating a staging area for the media, so information can be provided to the public as quickly as possible.

There is no plan at this time to close schools or the government of Guam today. Work and school continue, except that the night market at the Chamorro Village tonight has been canceled. Guamanians are asked to exercise caution with all this rain and the increase in winds.

The weather changes all the time, against even the most scientific predictions. That means, in this case, the disturbance could pass us without much incident, or it can hover and become a bigger storm. The important thing is for all Guamanians to be as prepared as possible.

We provide you some information on what you should do below. First, this is what we know about Tropical Disturbance:

- It is still east of Guam, closer to us today than it was yesterday (about 120-miles east)

- As of now, the estimated closest point of approach of the potential storm is tonight. Weather officials predict that as the storm leaves the island, it will slow down and take a north turn. This will cause strong winds to remain possibly through Friday. Again, these forecasts can change.

- Right now, the island is experiencing winds of about 25 mph, and gusts up to 40 mph. We currently expect these wind speeds to intensify, causing tropical storm conditions on Guam tonight. To put the current wind speeds into perspective, these are wind speeds that classify either a weak or a strong tropical storm:

o Weak Tropical Storm: Winds between 30 – 49 mph

o Strong Tropical Storm: Winds between 50 – 73 mph

This is what you should do to prepare. Even if this turns out to be a banana storm, it is far better to be safe and prepared than sorry:

1. Gas your car and get fuel for your generators

2. Clean your yard and the outside of your house of anything that could fly in high winds

3. Stock up on non-perishable foods (like can goods) and drinking water

4. Get batteries for flashlights and batter-operated radios. It is important that you have a battery-operated radio

5. Get your shutters ready. You may need to put them up based on more information we will have this afternoon about this potential storm

We remind Guamanians of these tips to stay safe in these weather conditions:

- Drive slower than the posted speed limits; puddles can be misleading

- Do not go out on a boat; and definitely do not go swimming, surfing, or fishing, or otherwise get in the water

- Keep listening to the radio for information. So far, the radio stations committed to putting out information from Civil Defense are:

o K57 AM

o Isla 630 AM

o I94 FM

o Power 98 FM

o 105 the KAT

o 88.1 FM Harvest Family Radio

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